Cannot upgrade from 12.04 to 12.10

During the upgrade process, after the "Calculating the changes" step I get the following error message:

An unresolvable problem occurred while calculating the upgrade:
E:Error, pkgProblemResolver::Resolve generated breaks, this may be
caused by held packages.

This can be caused by:
* Upgrading to a pre-release version of Ubuntu
* Running the current pre-release version of Ubuntu
* Unofficial software packages not provided by Ubuntu

...and the upgrade process stops.

ProblemType: Bug
DistroRelease: Ubuntu 12.04
Package: update-manager 1:0.156.14.11
ProcVersionSignature: Ubuntu 3.2.0-32.51-generic-pae 3.2.30
Uname: Linux 3.2.0-32-generic-pae i686
NonfreeKernelModules: nvidia
ApportVersion: 2.0.1-0ubuntu14
Architecture: i386
Date: Sun Oct 28 21:01:46 2012
GsettingsChanges:
 com.ubuntu.update-manager first-run false
 com.ubuntu.update-manager launch-time 1351350848
 com.ubuntu.update-manager window-height 600
 com.ubuntu.update-manager window-width 600
InstallationMedia: Ubuntu 11.04 "Natty Narwhal" - Release i386 (20110427.1)
PackageArchitecture: all
ProcEnviron:
 TERM=xterm
 PATH=(custom, user)
 LANG=en_US.UTF-8
 SHELL=/bin/bash
SourcePackage: update-manager
Symptom: ubuntu-release-upgrader-core
UpgradeStatus: Upgraded to precise on 2012-10-28 (0 days ago)
VarLogDistupgradeAptclonesystemstate.tar.gz: Error: [Errno 13] Permission denied: '/var/log/dist-upgrade/apt-clone_system_state.tar.gz'